Kitara 1-1 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.59
Over 2.5
54%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.09
No
47%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.8pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
59%
-13.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
41%
+13.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.55/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.60
+79% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kampala City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Kitara Kitara 4-0 HT 2-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
27.09.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 2-0 HT 2-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
06.08.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 3-3 HT 2-2 Kitara Kitara UGS8
POST-MATCH Kitara vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara and Kampala City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 22% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kitara and 1.67 for Kampala City.

What was the final score of Kitara vs Kampala City?

Kitara 1-1 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kitara 41%, draw 22%, Kampala City 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitara), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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