Barwell 0-2 Khalsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.09
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
33%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 33% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalsa EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Khalsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalsa saw off Barwell 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Khalsa made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Khalsa?

Barwell 0-2 Khalsa in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Khalsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barwell 40%, draw 26%, Khalsa 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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