26/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Barwell vs Khalsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07
— our 33% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
26%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
28%
39%
Under 2.5
44%
61%
Over 2.5
56%
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
40%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barwell v Khalsa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Barwell
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Khalsa
EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
390 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
301 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Barwell vs Khalsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Khalsa saw off Barwell 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Khalsa made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Barwell vs Khalsa?
Barwell 0-2 Khalsa in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barwell vs Khalsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barwell 40%, draw 26%, Khalsa 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.
✗ Match Result (Barwell)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNFAT
More England - FA Cup
26 Oct 2024