Gosport Borough 5-1 Taunton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
7.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.78 — our 24% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gosport Borough
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Taunton Town
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
26.03.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 0-1 HT 0-0 Taunton Town Taunton Town İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Taunton Town Taunton Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Gosport Borough vs Taunton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gosport Borough swept aside Taunton Town 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Gosport Borough made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Taunton Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gosport Borough and 1.50 for Taunton Town.

What was the final score of Gosport Borough vs Taunton Town?

Gosport Borough 5-1 Taunton Town in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gosport Borough vs Taunton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gosport Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gosport Borough 38%, draw 31%, Taunton Town 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gosport Borough), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gosport Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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