Hungerford Town 2-3 Yate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Yate Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+120% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hungerford Town vs Yate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yate Town nicked a narrow win over Hungerford Town 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hungerford Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Hungerford Town vs Yate Town?

Hungerford Town 2-3 Yate Town in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hungerford Town vs Yate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hungerford Town 47%, draw 24%, Yate Town 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✗ BTTS No
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