Tavistock 0-4 Winchester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
44%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.18
Over
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.29
2-3
40%
1.87
4-5
24%
2.98
6+
13%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.5pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tavistock EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Winchester City EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Tavistock vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City swept aside Tavistock 4-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Winchester City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Tavistock vs Winchester City?

Tavistock 0-4 Winchester City in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tavistock vs Winchester City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tavistock 25%, draw 31%, Winchester City 44%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Winchester City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Winchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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