Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
11%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 26% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.5
X/1
20%
3.92
X/2
6%
11.05
X/X
9%
6.11
2/1
7%
21.0
2/2
7%
8.09
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.80/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
-28% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
463 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.8 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Wolverhampton
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 1.27
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
550 Passes 279
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 HT 2-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNLK
28.02.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion FAK
22.01.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
19.08.2023 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 1-4 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
29.04.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 6-0 HT 4-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
05.11.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-3 HT 2-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2-2
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.31 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
393 Passes 361
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 31
26 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Brighton & Hove Albion carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 51% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 49%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.31 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.00 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton?

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 56%, draw 24%, Wolverhampton 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✗ BTTS No
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