GIF Sundsvall 1-1 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.21
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.09
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.06
X/2
16%
6.41
X/X
11%
4.94
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
17%
4.3
2/X
6%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.81/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.42
+26% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIF Sundsvall
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Örgryte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
30.10.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
23.05.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-0 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
06.09.2021 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 0-1 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
22.05.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
31.10.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 4-1 HT 2-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
POST-MATCH GIF Sundsvall vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall and Örgryte shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIF Sundsvall had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for GIF Sundsvall and 0.67 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of GIF Sundsvall vs Örgryte?

GIF Sundsvall 1-1 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIF Sundsvall vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split GIF Sundsvall 34%, draw 27%, Örgryte 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Örgryte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Under 2.5
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