Utsiktens BK 3-1 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.71
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.72
X/2
11%
5.6
X/X
7%
4.77
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.6
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.66/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.15
+18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.06.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
02.09.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
28.05.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
29.10.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 3-3 HT 1-2 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
02.07.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-3 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
24.08.2015 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 5-1 HT 3-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utsiktens BK
3-1
AWAY Östersunds FK
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK beat Östersunds FK 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utsiktens BK as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Utsiktens BK had 50% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 50%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utsiktens BK and 1.67 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Östersunds FK?

Utsiktens BK 3-1 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utsiktens BK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 41%, draw 24%, Östersunds FK 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utsiktens BK), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utsiktens BK) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
26 Oct 2024
14:00 Landskrona vs IK Brage Analysis →
14:00 Sandvikens IF vs Helsingborgs IF Analysis →
16:00 Trelleborgs FF vs Gefle Analysis →
16:00 GIF Sundsvall vs Örgryte Analysis →