Trelleborgs FF 1-0 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.16
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.1
X/1
15%
4.21
X/2
7%
9.43
X/X
6%
5.88
2/1
9%
20.85
2/2
12%
6.55
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -24%
1.60/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/2.31
-6% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
341 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gefle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Gefle Gefle 2-2 HT 2-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
11.11.2023 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
02.04.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
21.08.2017 Gefle Gefle 1-2 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
19.06.2017 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
26.02.2017 Gefle Gefle 1-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
1-0
AWAY Gefle
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF nicked a narrow win over Gefle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trelleborgs FF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 52% of the ball to Gefle's 48%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 1.17 for Gefle.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Gefle?

Trelleborgs FF 1-0 Gefle in the Sweden - Superettan on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 51%, draw 22%, Gefle 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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