Bergantinos 2-1 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 29%
-24% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
0.81/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-37% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos edged past Real Avila 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bergantinos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Real Avila?

Bergantinos 2-1 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bergantinos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 43%, draw 24%, Real Avila 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bergantinos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bergantinos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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