Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

Arminia Bielefeld
1-1 HT 1-0
Alemannia Aachen
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
3.47
6+ Goals
13%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
15%
3.87
X/2
10%
9.52
X/X
13%
5.22
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
9%
7.49
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arminia Bielefeld v Alemannia Aachen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.88/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.02
-51% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +79% / +63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
447 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
31.5 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
The Meetings
01.12.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
20.07.2012 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL3
15.05.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
17.12.2010 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 HT 0-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
12.03.2010 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
16.10.2009 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2

Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Alemannia Aachen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
388 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld and Alemannia Aachen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 61% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 39%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.50 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen?

Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 49%, draw 26%, Alemannia Aachen 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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