Unterhaching 1-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.33
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.76
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.02
X/2
13%
5.53
X/X
12%
5.22
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
13%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.5
Value flag · X/1 at 6.02 — our 18% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.50/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.37
+6% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 2-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
26.08.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
05.04.2021 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
22.11.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
15.02.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
17.08.2019 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
261 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unterhaching and Viktoria Köln shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Unterhaching had 44% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Unterhaching had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Unterhaching and 1.17 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Viktoria Köln?

Unterhaching 1-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unterhaching win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 40%, draw 28%, Viktoria Köln 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Unterhaching), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Unterhaching) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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