Osnabrück 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
29%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.62
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.8
X/1
15%
5.84
X/2
17%
5.59
X/X
11%
5.37
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.4
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 12.8 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.58/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.30
+12% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Saarbrücken
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
396 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
27.08.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
15.01.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
31.07.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-2 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
08.02.2014 Osnabrück Osnabrück 4-1 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
24.08.2013 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
64% Ball Possession 36%
27 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
357 Passes 158
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück and Saarbrücken couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Osnabrück had 64% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 36%, shots finished 27-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Osnabrück and 1.00 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Saarbrücken?

Osnabrück 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 34%, draw 27%, Saarbrücken 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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