Viktoria Köln 2-1 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Jan 2024

Viktoria Köln
2-1 HT 2-0
Unterhaching
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.64
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
9%
7.29
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
8%
23.45
2/2
16%
5.19
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Köln v Unterhaching — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.68/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
11.6 Crosses 15.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Unterhaching
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
05.04.2021 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
22.11.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-2 HT 1-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
15.02.2020 Unterhaching Unterhaching 1-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
17.08.2019 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3

Viktoria Köln 2-1 Unterhaching — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
2-1
AWAY Unterhaching
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln edged past Unterhaching 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Viktoria Köln found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 48% of the ball to Unterhaching's 52%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Unterhaching led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viktoria Köln and 1.60 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching?

Viktoria Köln 2-1 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 40%, draw 28%, Unterhaching 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Köln) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ Under 2.5
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