Jahn Regensburg 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.13
1/2
5%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
13%
5.12
X/2
12%
6.3
X/X
10%
4.9
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
17%
4.19
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.4pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.56/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.82
+4% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.28 xG 1.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
218 Passes 311
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
04.02.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-3 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
24.07.2022 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-3 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
09.02.2020 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 6-0 HT 2-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
24.08.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-3 HT 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
08.02.2019 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-3 HT 0-2 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg got the better of Arminia Bielefeld 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jahn Regensburg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 37% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 63%, shots finished 9-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 2.67 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Jahn Regensburg 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jahn Regensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 43%, draw 24%, Arminia Bielefeld 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jahn Regensburg), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jahn Regensburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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