Erzgebirge Aue vs Lübeck Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Lübeck — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Lübeck Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
2-2
HT 0-2
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Lübeck
AL2
Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 Lübeck — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue saw off Lübeck 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erzgebirge Aue as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 51% of the ball to Lübeck's 49%, shots finished 10-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 1.00 for Lübeck.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Lübeck?
Erzgebirge Aue 2-0 Lübeck in the Germany - 3rd Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Lübeck?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 47%, draw 24%, Lübeck 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.