FC Bocholt 0-1 Gütersloh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.38
Over Pick
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
49%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bocholt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gütersloh EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.59/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.23
-13% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bocholt
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gütersloh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Gütersloh Gütersloh 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt ALMBÖL
07.10.2023 FC Bocholt FC Bocholt 2-0 HT 2-0 Gütersloh Gütersloh ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH FC Bocholt vs Gütersloh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gütersloh edged past FC Bocholt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Bocholt at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Bocholt and 0.50 for Gütersloh.

What was the final score of FC Bocholt vs Gütersloh?

FC Bocholt 0-1 Gütersloh in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bocholt vs Gütersloh?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bocholt win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Bocholt 55%, draw 23%, Gütersloh 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Bocholt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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