Jong Almere City 1-2 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
42%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
43%
Away Win
54%
-11.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 58%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.02
+67% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katwijk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.03 xG 1.67
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
180 Passes 323
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 43
6 Crosses 43
5 Yellow Cards 0
20.01.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 1-3 HT 1-1 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
29.08.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 0-1 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
30.03.2019 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk nicked a narrow win over Jong Almere City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jong Almere City and 1.00 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs Katwijk?

Jong Almere City 1-2 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 29%, draw 29%, Katwijk 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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