Benfica II vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica II v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Benfica II vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Benfica II
POR2
2-1
HT 1-1
Benfica II
POR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR2
Benfica II 1-3 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela got the better of Benfica II 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Tondela found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Benfica II had 56% of the ball to Tondela's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benfica II and 1.33 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Benfica II vs Tondela?
Benfica II 1-3 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 40%, draw 25%, Tondela 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.