Penafiel 0-2 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

Penafiel
0-2 HT 0-0
Academico Viseu
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Penafiel vs Academico Viseu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penafiel v Academico Viseu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penafiel EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.34/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.50
+0% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.2 Crosses 19.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Penafiel vs Academico Viseu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penafiel
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Academico Viseu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.46 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
293 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-0 HT 0-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
02.09.2023 Penafiel Penafiel 0-0 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
07.05.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-0 HT 0-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
31.12.2022 Penafiel Penafiel 1-2 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
13.05.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-2 HT 0-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
08.01.2022 Penafiel Penafiel 0-0 HT 0-0 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2

Penafiel 0-2 Academico Viseu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penafiel
0-2
AWAY Academico Viseu
0.47 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
209 Passes 224
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Penafiel vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu saw off Penafiel 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Penafiel at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Penafiel had 52% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 48%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 0.47 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academico Viseu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Penafiel and 0.67 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Penafiel vs Academico Viseu?

Penafiel 0-2 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penafiel vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Penafiel 42%, draw 26%, Academico Viseu 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Penafiel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penafiel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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