Tondela 1-1 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.02
6+ Goals
7%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tondela EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.08/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.50
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 17.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tondela
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Benfica II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
304 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 6
17.12.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 1-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
05.02.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 0-0 Tondela Tondela POR2
12.08.2022 Tondela Tondela 1-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
15.04.2015 Tondela Tondela 2-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
29.11.2014 Benfica II Benfica II 0-2 HT 0-1 Tondela Tondela POR2
09.03.2014 Tondela Tondela 2-0 HT 2-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tondela
1-1
AWAY Benfica II
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Tondela vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tondela and Benfica II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Tondela had 44% of the ball to Benfica II's 56%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tondela had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tondela and 0.83 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Tondela vs Benfica II?

Tondela 1-1 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tondela vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tondela 35%, draw 32%, Benfica II 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tondela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tondela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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