Porto II 2-2 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.25
6+ Goals
11%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.52/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.99
-10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.8 Crosses 17.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-1 HT 2-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
27.08.2017 Porto II Porto II 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
15.08.2015 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-2 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
31.08.2014 Porto II Porto II 0-1 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
09.02.2014 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
2-2
AWAY Santa Clara
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II and Santa Clara shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Porto II had 60% of the ball to Santa Clara's 40%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Porto II and 1.00 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Santa Clara?

Porto II 2-2 Santa Clara in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Porto II 29%, draw 28%, Santa Clara 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ BTTS Yes
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