Torreense 1-2 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torreense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.24/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.48
-31% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.2 Crosses 18.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torreense
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 0.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
260 Passes 359
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 0-0 HT 0-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
25.02.2023 Torreense Torreense 1-2 HT 1-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu POR2
20.11.2022 Torreense Torreense 1-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu PORLC
03.09.2022 Academico Viseu Academico Viseu 1-2 HT 0-2 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torreense
1-2
AWAY Academico Viseu
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Torreense vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academico Viseu squeezed past Torreense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Academico Viseu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torreense had 60% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 40%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torreense and 1.00 for Academico Viseu.

What was the final score of Torreense vs Academico Viseu?

Torreense 1-2 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torreense vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Torreense 38%, draw 31%, Academico Viseu 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Torreense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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