Boavista 0-2 Moreirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.47
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.15
1/2
9%
33.5
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
15%
6.14
X/2
15%
4.47
X/X
12%
3.69
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.31
2/X
10%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreirense EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.35/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.91
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
21.0 Crosses 19.7
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Moreirense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.91 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
06.10.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 1-1 Boavista Boavista POR
01.05.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 1-2 HT 0-1 Boavista Boavista POR
19.12.2021 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
19.02.2021 Boavista Boavista 1-0 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
02.10.2020 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Boavista Boavista POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
0-2
AWAY Moreirense
0.23 xG 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
322 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Moreirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense got the better of Boavista 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Moreirense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boavista had 50% of the ball to Moreirense's 50%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.23 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boavista had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boavista and 0.50 for Moreirense.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Moreirense?

Boavista 0-2 Moreirense in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Moreirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boavista 33%, draw 28%, Moreirense 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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