Famalicao 0-3 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

Famalicao
0-3 HT 0-0
Sporting CP
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Famalicao vs Sporting CP Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
15.8
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
7%
24.0
X/1
6%
18.35
X/2
13%
3.3
X/X
10%
6.68
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.57
2/X
5%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+8.4pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-12.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Famalicao v Sporting CP — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Famalicao EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 75%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.96/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.74
+56% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
15.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
13.7 Crosses 21.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Famalicao vs Sporting CP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Famalicao
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.63 xG 1.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 435
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
16.04.2024 Famalicao Famalicao 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
27.08.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-0 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
30.04.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
13.11.2022 Famalicao Famalicao 1-2 HT 0-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
06.02.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
26.10.2021 Sporting CP Sporting CP 2-1 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao PORLC

Famalicao 0-3 Sporting CP — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Famalicao
0-3
AWAY Sporting CP
0.31 xG 3.60
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 33
1 Shots on Target 13
4 Corners 8
252 Passes 474
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 61
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Famalicao vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP ran out comfortable winners over Famalicao 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Famalicao had 37% of the ball to Sporting CP's 63%, shots finished 6-33, expected goals 0.31 to 3.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Famalicao and 1.67 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Famalicao 0-3 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 19%, draw 23%, Sporting CP 58%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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