Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2025

Deportivo La Coruna
1-1 HT 0-1
Valladolid
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.72
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
14%
4.58
X/2
10%
7.42
X/X
15%
4.67
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.71
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo La Coruna v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.35/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.00
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.9 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Valladolid
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
01.08.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid HAZ
11.05.2013 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
17.12.2012 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
06.05.2012 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
04.12.2011 Valladolid Valladolid 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
20.03.2010 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-2 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
AWAY Valladolid
1.71 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
409 Passes 283
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Valladolid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 57% of the ball to Valladolid's 43%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.71 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.83 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Valladolid?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 46%, draw 25%, Valladolid 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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