Almeria vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Almeria vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-1
Almeria
İS2
2-1
HT 0-1
CD Castellon
İS2
1-1
HT 0-0
Almeria
İS2
Almeria 1-0 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria nicked a narrow win over CD Castellon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almeria had 48% of the ball to CD Castellon's 52%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.95 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Almeria and 2.17 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Almeria vs CD Castellon?
Almeria 1-0 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Almeria 49%, draw 21%, CD Castellon 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.