Malaga 4-1 FC Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2025

Malaga
4-1 HT 1-0
FC Andorra
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Malaga vs FC Andorra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.79
2-3 Goals
34%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
18.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 36% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.85
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.65
X/2
10%
7.28
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
9%
5.67
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malaga v FC Andorra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malaga EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
21.1 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Malaga vs FC Andorra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malaga
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Andorra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.56 xG 0.78
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
224 Passes 470
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.04.2023 FC Andorra FC Andorra 1-0 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
09.10.2022 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2

Malaga 4-1 FC Andorra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malaga
4-1
AWAY FC Andorra
2.58 xG 1.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
332 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 38
4 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Malaga vs FC Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malaga swept aside FC Andorra 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Malaga as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Malaga had 47% of the ball to FC Andorra's 53%, shots finished 16-23, expected goals 2.58 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Andorra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Malaga and 0.50 for FC Andorra.

What was the final score of Malaga vs FC Andorra?

Malaga 4-1 FC Andorra in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malaga vs FC Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malaga 48%, draw 27%, FC Andorra 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malaga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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