Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-3 Meuselwitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Oct 2025

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
3-3 HT 1-2
Meuselwitz
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Meuselwitz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
32%
4.08
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.21
Over 2.5
42%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-10.0pp
32%
Draw
21%
+10.9pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
41%
+16.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
59%
-16.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Meuselwitz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
2.48/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.85
+17% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Meuselwitz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Meuselwitz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
07.03.2025 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
14.09.2024 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
03.03.2024 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 4-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
16.09.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-2 HT 1-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-0 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-4 HT 0-2 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Meuselwitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt and Meuselwitz shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meuselwitz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.33 for Meuselwitz.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Meuselwitz?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 3-3 Meuselwitz in the Germany - Regional League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Meuselwitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 50%, draw 32%, Meuselwitz 18%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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