Lille vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lille v Metz — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lille 6-1 Metz — Actual Match Statistics
Lille dismantled Metz 6-1. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Lille had 62% of the ball to Metz's 38%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.92 to 1.31.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lille and 0.67 for Metz.
Lille vs Metz Result & Final Score
Lille 6-1 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lille vs Metz Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Lille 76%, draw 15%, Metz 9%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.