Auxerre 0-1 Le Havre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 26 Oct 2025

Auxerre
0-1 HT 0-0
Le Havre
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.74
Over
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.84
No
54%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
30%
2.79
2-3
41%
1.75
4-5
18%
3.95
6+
11%
18.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.79 — our 30% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.93
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
12%
4.7
X/2
14%
7.05
X/X
11%
4.33
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
8%
5.45
2/X
5%
14.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Auxerre v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre The Market 31%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +28%
0.83/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.02
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
13.2 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Auxerre vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Le Havre
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.91 xG 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
429 Passes 298
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2025 Auxerre Auxerre 1-2 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
01.09.2024 Le Havre Le Havre 3-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
07.05.2022 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 1-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
21.12.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 2-3 HT 1-2 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
05.04.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
01.12.2020 Le Havre Le Havre 1-1 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2

Auxerre 0-1 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
0-1
AWAY Le Havre
0.61 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 5
280 Passes 287
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Auxerre vs Le Havre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Le Havre squeezed past Auxerre 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

We leaned Auxerre at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals call finished the job: under 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, possession split 51% to 49% in Auxerre's favour, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.61 to 1.21.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Auxerre against 1.83 for Le Havre.

Auxerre vs Le Havre Result & Final Score

Auxerre 0-1 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 47%, draw 25%, Le Havre 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Auxerre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auxerre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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