Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction — Model Probabilities
Auxerre v Le Havre — Team-Based Signals
Auxerre vs Le Havre Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Auxerre 1-2 Le Havre — Actual Match Statistics
Le Havre shaded a tight game against Auxerre 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 29% / 32%); Le Havre picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Auxerre had 47% of the ball to Le Havre's 53%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.23 to 1.54 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Le Havre's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auxerre and 1.67 for Le Havre.
Auxerre vs Le Havre Result & Final Score
Auxerre 1-2 Le Havre in the France - Ligue 1 on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Auxerre vs Le Havre Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 39%, draw 29%, Le Havre 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.