Rennes 1-2 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 26 Oct 2025

Rennes
1-2 HT 0-2
Nice
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.1
Over
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.54
No
47%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
28%
4.02
2-3
37%
1.84
4-5
25%
2.97
6+
10%
9.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.78
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.09
X/2
11%
7.4
X/X
10%
5.18
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.0
2/X
8%
12.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice The Market 32%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.49/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.34
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.1 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Nice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
429 Passes 367
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2025 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
03.01.2025 Nice Nice 3-2 HT 3-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
13.01.2024 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 1-0 Nice Nice FR1
05.11.2023 Nice Nice 2-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
06.05.2023 Nice Nice 2-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
02.01.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-1 HT 1-1 Nice Nice FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
1-2
AWAY Nice
1.74 xG 0.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
422 Passes 271
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Rennes vs Nice
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Nice squeezed past Rennes 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

A gentle 43% lean on Rennes didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (2.00, ~50%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. At 1.54 (~65%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Rennes had 58% of the ball to Nice's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.74 to 0.73 — on chances, Rennes could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rennes and 1.33 for Nice.

Rennes vs Nice Result & Final Score

Rennes 1-2 Nice in the France - Ligue 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rennes vs Nice Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rennes 43%, draw 26%, Nice 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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