Busan Transportation 1-2 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.27
Draw
39%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
40%
-12.6pp
39%
Draw
29%
+10.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.07/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.94
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan Transportation
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
15.06.2025 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
31.08.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
04.05.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-3 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
09.07.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
26.03.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
13.08.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 1-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Busan Transportation vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen edged past Busan Transportation 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 39% / 33% — and on the day Paju Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Busan Transportation and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Busan Transportation vs Paju Citizen?

Busan Transportation 1-2 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan Transportation vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Busan Transportation 28%, draw 39%, Paju Citizen 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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