Changwon City 2-1 Yeoju Sejong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeoju Sejong EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.40/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.07
-7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Yeoju Sejong
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
14.06.2025 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 1-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
25.08.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong GK3L
28.04.2024 Yeoju Sejong Yeoju Sejong 0-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City nicked a narrow win over Yeoju Sejong 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Changwon City and 0.33 for Yeoju Sejong.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?

Changwon City 2-1 Yeoju Sejong in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Yeoju Sejong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 46%, draw 27%, Yeoju Sejong 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
26 Oct 2025
08:00 Gimhae City vs Siheung Citizen Analysis →
08:00 Jeonbuk Motors II vs Gyeongju HNP Analysis →
08:00 Mokpo City vs Gangneung City Analysis →
08:00 Busan Transportation vs Paju Citizen Analysis →
13:00 Daejeon Korail vs Pocheon Analysis →