Kitchee 3-3 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+3.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.57/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/3.64
+26% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -45%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
4W-1D-1L
AWAY North District
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Kitchee Kitchee 1-2 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
08.03.2025 Kitchee Kitchee 5-0 HT 3-0 North District North District HK1
31.08.2024 North District North District 2-2 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
14.04.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 4-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
21.02.2024 North District North District 0-1 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HONSAP
03.12.2023 North District North District 2-3 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
3-3
AWAY North District
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee and North District couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Kitchee carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kitchee had 62% of the ball to North District's 38%, shots finished 19-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Kitchee and 1.00 for North District.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs North District?

Kitchee 3-3 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 58%, draw 21%, North District 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitchee) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
26 Oct 2025
10:00 Kowloon City vs Hong Kong FC Analysis →
10:00 Wofoo Tai Po vs Eastern Analysis →