Central & Western 1-0 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.9pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.8pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 34%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +24%
0.58/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.21
-69% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Yuen Long
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
22.12.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
10.03.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 2-3 HT 2-2 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
07.01.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-2 HT 0-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
05.02.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-0 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
23.10.2022 Central & Western Central & Western 2-2 HT 2-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
1-0
AWAY Yuen Long
42% Ball Possession 58%
21 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western edged past Yuen Long 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central & Western had 42% of the ball to Yuen Long's 58%, shots finished 21-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Central & Western and 1.17 for Yuen Long.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs Yuen Long?

Central & Western 1-0 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 47%, draw 19%, Yuen Long 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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