Qatar SC 2-1 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.04
2-3 Goals
38%
2.07
4-5 Goals
25%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
5.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.6pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.61
-12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
21.6 Crosses 18.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.80 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
320 Passes 242
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Qatar SC Qatar SC 2-2 HT 2-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
27.09.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
24.02.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
08.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KATYK
01.09.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 1-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
08.05.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
2-1
AWAY Umm Salal
1.24 xG 1.35
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
234 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC squeezed past Umm Salal 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Qatar SC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Qatar SC had 48% of the ball to Umm Salal's 52%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.24 to 1.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Qatar SC and 1.67 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Umm Salal?

Qatar SC 2-1 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qatar SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 47%, draw 21%, Umm Salal 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qatar SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qatar SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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