Qatar SC 2-2 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qatar SC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.74/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.74
+15% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
280 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 81%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
26.3 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qatar SC
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.41 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
314 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
24.02.2024 Qatar SC Qatar SC 1-1 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
08.10.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KATYK
01.09.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-2 HT 1-2 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
08.05.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Qatar SC Qatar SC KAT
24.01.2023 Qatar SC Qatar SC 4-1 HT 2-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Qatar SC
2-2
AWAY Umm Salal
2.86 xG 2.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 30
6 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 13
201 Passes 257
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 33
13 Crosses 28
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Qatar SC vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qatar SC and Umm Salal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Qatar SC had 45% of the ball to Umm Salal's 55%, shots finished 13-30, expected goals 2.86 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Qatar SC and 1.50 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Qatar SC vs Umm Salal?

Qatar SC 2-2 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qatar SC vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Qatar SC 34%, draw 26%, Umm Salal 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Umm Salal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ BTTS Yes
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