Al Ahli 1-1 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.21/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.10
-9% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
15.5 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Shamal
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 1.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
414 Passes 241
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-4 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
29.03.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
03.11.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
02.04.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
14.09.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-2 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
25.02.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Ahli vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli and Al Shamal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli and 2.00 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?

Al Ahli 1-1 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli 38%, draw 26%, Al Shamal 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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