FK Riteriai 2-2 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Riteriai EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.79/2.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.84
+30% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +64%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Riteriai
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
14.06.2025 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 1-2 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
12.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-3 HT 0-2 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LITA
21.10.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
05.08.2023 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
03.06.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Riteriai FK Riteriai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Riteriai
2-2
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Riteriai vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Riteriai and Banga Gargzdai couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Banga Gargzdai at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FK Riteriai had 41% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 59%, shots finished 4-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Riteriai and 1.33 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Banga Gargzdai?

FK Riteriai 2-2 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 33%, draw 26%, Banga Gargzdai 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✓ BTTS Yes
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