Dziugas Telsiai 1-4 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 42%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.61/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.57
-60% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Panevezys
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
13.06.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
12.04.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
22.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
18.10.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
27.07.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 3-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
1-4
AWAY FK Panevezys
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys ran out comfortable winners over Dziugas Telsiai 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; FK Panevezys found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 55% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dziugas Telsiai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 0.83 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys?

Dziugas Telsiai 1-4 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 35%, draw 25%, FK Panevezys 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ BTTS Yes
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