Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 FA Siauliai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+3.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.81/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.67
+7% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FA Siauliai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
13.06.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
12.04.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
06.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
04.10.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
26.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
1-0
AWAY FA Siauliai
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius nicked a narrow win over FA Siauliai 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 55% of the ball to FA Siauliai's 45%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.17 for FA Siauliai.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 FA Siauliai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs FA Siauliai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 66%, draw 19%, FA Siauliai 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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