FA Siauliai 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Aug 2025

📅11/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 53%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.63/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.60
+31% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
12.04.2025 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
06.11.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
04.10.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-3 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
26.05.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 1-2 HT 1-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
07.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-2
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai and Zalgiris Vilnius couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zalgiris Vilnius at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 47% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 53%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FA Siauliai and 1.83 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FA Siauliai 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 29%, draw 23%, Zalgiris Vilnius 49%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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