Naxxar Lions vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naxxar Lions v Hamrun Spartans — Team-Based Signals
Naxxar Lions vs Hamrun Spartans Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Hamrun Spartans
MLTP
Naxxar Lions 1-1 Hamrun Spartans — Actual Match Statistics
Naxxar Lions and Hamrun Spartans shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
This one beat our numbers. Hamrun Spartans carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Naxxar Lions had 31% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 69%, shots finished 4-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Naxxar Lions and 4.50 for Hamrun Spartans.
What was the final score of Naxxar Lions vs Hamrun Spartans?
Naxxar Lions 1-1 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naxxar Lions vs Hamrun Spartans?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Naxxar Lions 14%, draw 23%, Hamrun Spartans 63%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hamrun Spartans), BTTS No went the other way.