UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Alianza Universidad — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
1-2
HT 0-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
1-2
HT 0-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
2-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Universidad
PER
UTC Cajamarca 3-2 Alianza Universidad — Actual Match Statistics
UTC Cajamarca edged past Alianza Universidad 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 50% of the ball to Alianza Universidad's 50%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.10 to 1.64.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 0.83 for Alianza Universidad.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad?
UTC Cajamarca 3-2 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad?
Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 43%, draw 28%, Alianza Universidad 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.