Sporting Cristal 0-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.32
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
71%
+2.4pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.5pp
10%
Away Win
12%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
2.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.97
+33% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
24.7 Crosses 12.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
2.32 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2025 Cultural San Cultural San 3-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
31.07.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 3-3 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
16.02.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-1 HT 3-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
0-1
AWAY Cultural San
4.63 xG 0.91
76% Ball Possession 24%
34 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 3
18 Corners 2
464 Passes 99
88% Pass Accuracy 59%
50 Box Touches 10
47 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San edged past Sporting Cristal 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sporting Cristal at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 76% of the ball to Cultural San's 24%, shots finished 34-10, expected goals 4.63 to 0.91 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Cristal.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sporting Cristal and 2.33 for Cultural San.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Cultural San?

Sporting Cristal 0-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 73%, draw 16%, Cultural San 10%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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