Cusco FC 1-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.67/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.60
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
23.6 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Grau
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 0.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2025 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
07.03.2025 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC CSA
29.10.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
17.05.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 4-0 HT 3-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
21.09.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
29.04.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 3-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.69 xG 0.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
350 Passes 361
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC edged past Atletico Grau 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 49% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 51%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.69 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Grau led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cusco FC and 1.33 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau?

Cusco FC 1-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 57%, draw 26%, Atletico Grau 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
26 Oct 2025
19:00 Sporting Cristal vs Cultural San Analysis →
21:15 UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Analysis →
23:30 ADT vs Universitario Analysis →