Famalicao vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Famalicao v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Famalicao vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
3-2
HT 1-0
Famalicao
POR
Famalicao 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Famalicao beat Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Famalicao as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Famalicao had 50% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 50%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.68 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Famalicao and 1.67 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Famalicao 2-0 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 57%, draw 23%, Vitoria Guimaraes 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Famalicao) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.