Vitoria Guimaraes vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
3-2
HT 1-0
Famalicao
POR
2-1
HT 1-1
Famalicao
POR
1-2
HT 1-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes squeezed past Famalicao 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Vitoria Guimaraes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 48% of the ball to Famalicao's 52%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 1.17 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Famalicao?
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 39%, draw 34%, Famalicao 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.